Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-16 0.483224 0.553723 0.630100 0.718887 0.819154 0.928767 1.057565
2025-03-23 0.374506 0.469571 0.581198 0.721507 0.892679 1.094219 1.348969
2025-03-30 0.287625 0.392436 0.525100 0.704293 0.938832 1.234044 1.632274
2025-04-06 0.232340 0.343007 0.493166 0.709830 1.012083 1.416015 1.993343
2025-04-13 0.182425 0.290456 0.447067 0.687550 1.043606 1.546537 2.304501
2025-04-20 0.155366 0.265069 0.433961 0.708249 1.136505 1.771785 2.774828
2025-04-27 0.135011 0.245732 0.425995 0.734289 1.239605 2.023280 3.313669
2025-05-04 0.115023 0.222838 0.408050 0.740800 1.311825 2.235127 3.816106
2025-05-11 0.097736 0.201065 0.387926 0.739708 1.370090 2.429959 4.312113
2025-05-18 0.083655 0.182298 0.369634 0.738281 1.426314 2.626099 4.830093
2025-05-25 0.072633 0.167222 0.355406 0.741516 1.490145 2.840722 5.400811
2025-06-01 0.064086 0.155478 0.345490 0.750998 1.565810 3.083037 6.043895
2025-06-08 0.055096 0.141105 0.328214 0.743916 1.610059 3.275273 6.621431
2025-06-15 0.049483 0.133272 0.323348 0.761545 1.705323 3.573313 7.427699
2025-06-22 0.042767 0.121347 0.307472 0.753128 1.745936 3.769747 8.058870
2025-06-29 0.038364 0.114274 0.301419 0.765452 1.831716 4.064536 8.913134
2025-07-06 0.032747 0.102717 0.282691 0.745663 1.844565 4.211180 9.481794
2025-07-13 0.030205 0.099087 0.282856 0.770747 1.961296 4.587114 10.561398
2025-07-20 0.028143 0.096386 0.284931 0.800782 2.093042 5.008065 11.775273
2025-07-27 0.025380 0.090938 0.278800 0.809076 2.174009 5.325155 12.793308
2025-08-03 0.022629 0.084866 0.269881 0.808699 2.233633 5.599850 13.742577
2025-08-10 0.020198 0.079245 0.261228 0.807676 2.291369 5.875535 14.718778
2025-08-17 0.018209 0.074634 0.254704 0.811538 2.362019 6.188087 15.807409